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Toss-up · 2012 House
Nevada House
In the 2012 Nevada House race, Joseph J. Heck (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.5
Final polls said
R+10.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benenson Strategy Group | R+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+10.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | R+4.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | WPA Intelligence | R+11.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2012-10-223
WPA Intelligence2012-10-074
Benenson Strategy Group2012-10-022
Global Strategy Group2012-09-293
SurveyUSA2012-09-116
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Nevada House race?
Joseph J. Heck (R) won, by about 7.5 points (R+7.5).
When was the 2012 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.