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Toss-up · 2012 House
New York House
In the 2012 New York House race, Christopher P. Gibson (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.3
Final polls said
R+7.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | R+5.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | OnMessage Inc. | R+8.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | R+2.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+10.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2012-10-274
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-249
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-0910
Grove Insight2012-10-061
OnMessage Inc.2012-09-307
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New York House race?
Christopher P. Gibson (R) won, by about 5.3 points (R+5.3).
When was the 2012 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2012.