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Toss-up · 2012 House
New York House
In the 2012 New York House race, William L. Owens (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+5.0
Final polls said
D+3.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+7.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+2.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Siena College | D+1.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2012-10-294
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-243
Global Strategy Group2012-10-222
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-010
Global Strategy Group2012-10-019
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New York House race?
William L. Owens (D) won, by about 5.0 points (D+5.0).
When was the 2012 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.