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Toss-up · 2012 House
New York House
In the 2012 New York House race, Daniel B. Maffei (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+5.3
Final polls said
D+1.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grove Insight | D+8.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lake Research Partners | D+2.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Siena College | EVEN | 5.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2012-11-019
Lake Research Partners2012-10-167
Grove Insight2012-09-231
Siena College2012-09-079
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New York House race?
Daniel B. Maffei (D) won, by about 5.3 points (D+5.3).
When was the 2012 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2012.