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Toss-up · 2012 House
New York House
In the 2012 New York House race, Louise McIntosh Slaughter (D) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
D+18.4
Final polls said
D+10.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+10.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | GBAO | D+10.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2012-10-298
GBAO2012-10-178
Siena College2012-10-0913
Siena College2012-09-258
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New York House race?
Louise McIntosh Slaughter (D) won, by about 18.4 points (D+18.4).
When was the 2012 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.