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Toss-up · 2012 House
Utah House
In the 2012 Utah House race, Chris Stewart (R) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
R+28.7
Final polls said
R+21.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+27.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+16.0 | 12.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyGrade A-10-302012-10-302
Dan Jones & AssociatesGrade A+10-292012-10-2913
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Utah House race?
Chris Stewart (R) won, by about 28.7 points (R+28.7).
When was the 2012 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2012.