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Toss-up · 2012 House
Wisconsin House
In the 2012 Wisconsin House race, Sean Duffy (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+12.3
Final polls said
R+6.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+11.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+4.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | FM3 Research | R+3.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2012-09-301
FM3 Research2012-09-259
Public Policy Polling2012-09-248
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Wisconsin House race?
Sean Duffy (R) won, by about 12.3 points (R+12.3).
When was the 2012 Wisconsin House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.