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Toss-up · 2012 President
Hawaii President
In the 2012 Hawaii President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 43 points.
Actual result
D+42.7
Final polls said
D+27.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRG Research | D+27.0 | 15.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MRG Research2012-10-2616
MRG Research2012-10-2516
MRG Research2012-09-2711
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Hawaii President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 42.7 points (D+42.7).
When was the 2012 Hawaii President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.