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Toss-up · 2012 President
Massachusetts President
In the 2012 Massachusetts President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
D+23.0
Final polls said
D+18.6
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+20.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | D+20.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | MassINC Polling Group | D+20.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+19.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Western New England University Polling Institute | D+18.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | D+15.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Suffolk University | D+32.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+14.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Kimball Political Consulting | D+13.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
27 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-023
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion2012-11-023
Public Policy Polling2012-11-018
Kimball Political Consulting2012-10-3110
Western New England University Polling Institute2012-10-295
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Massachusetts President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 23.0 points (D+23.0).
When was the 2012 Massachusetts President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.