← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 President
Maryland President
In the 2012 Maryland President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
D+26.1
Final polls said
D+20.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+24.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+22.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | OpinionWorks | D+19.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+19.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-024
OpinionWorks2012-10-227
ABC News/The Washington Post2012-10-132
YouGov2012-10-085
OpinionWorks2012-09-263
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Maryland President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 26.1 points (D+26.1).
When was the 2012 Maryland President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.