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Toss-up · 2012 President
Montana President
In the 2012 Montana President race, Mitt Romney (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.7
Final polls said
R+9.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State University Billings | R+14.5 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mellman Group | R+8.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-027
Mellman Group2012-10-306
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2012-10-304
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-294
Public Policy Polling2012-10-154
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Montana President race?
Mitt Romney (R) won, by about 13.7 points (R+13.7).
When was the 2012 Montana President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.