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Toss-up · 2012 President
Oregon President
In the 2012 Oregon President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.1
Final polls said
D+6.2
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DHM Research | D+7.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+6.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hoffman Research Group | D+5.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-10-316
DHM Research2012-10-275
Elway Research2012-10-276
Hoffman Research Group2012-10-247
SurveyUSA2012-10-175
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Oregon President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 12.1 points (D+12.1).
When was the 2012 Oregon President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.