← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 President
Washington President
In the 2012 Washington President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+14.9
Final polls said
D+12.3
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+14.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Strategies 360 | D+13.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+13.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elway Research | D+17.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gravis Marketing | D+17.8 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | University of Washington Center for Survey Research | D+20.7 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+7.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-021
Public Policy Polling2012-11-028
SurveyUSA2012-10-301
University of Washington Center for Survey Research2012-10-246
Strategies 3602012-10-192
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Washington President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 14.9 points (D+14.9).
When was the 2012 Washington President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.