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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Massachusetts Senate
In the 2012 Massachusetts Senate race, Elizabeth Warren (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.5
Final polls said
D+4.0
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | D+7.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | MassINC Polling Group | D+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+6.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Western New England University Polling Institute | D+4.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Opinion Dynamics | D+4.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | EVEN | 7.5 | ✗ |
| 10 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | R+1.0 | 8.5 | ✗ |
| 11 | Kimball Political Consulting | R+2.0 | 9.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-020
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion2012-11-028
Public Policy Polling2012-11-011
Kimball Political Consulting2012-10-319
Western New England University Polling Institute2012-10-293
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Massachusetts Senate race?
Elizabeth Warren (D) won, by about 7.5 points (D+7.5).
When was the 2012 Massachusetts Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.