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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Maryland Senate
In the 2012 Maryland Senate race, Benjamin L. Cardin (D) won by about 30 points.
Actual result
D+29.6
Final polls said
D+24.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+31.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+28.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | OpinionWorks | D+26.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+23.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-027
OpinionWorks2012-10-224
ABC News/The Washington Post2012-10-131
YouGov2012-10-086
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2012-09-202
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Maryland Senate race?
Benjamin L. Cardin (D) won, by about 29.6 points (D+29.6).
When was the 2012 Maryland Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.