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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Maine Senate
In the 2012 Maine Senate race, Charlie Summers (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.5
Final polls said
R+23.1
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GS Strategy Group | R+16.5 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+19.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Digital Research | R+22.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Pan Atlantic Research | R+11.7 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Maine People's Resource Center | R+23.3 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+24.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2012-11-026
Public Policy Polling2012-11-017
Digital Research2012-10-305
Pan Atlantic Research2012-09-266
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-09-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Maine Senate race?
Charlie Summers (R) won, by about 17.5 points (R+17.5).
When was the 2012 Maine Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.