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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Maine Senate
In the 2012 Maine Senate race, the Democratic-Republican margin was R+17.5. This was not a two-party contest, so that margin does not identify the winner and VotePredictor does not name one.
Actual result
R+17.5
Final polls said
R+23.1
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GS Strategy Group | R+16.5 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+19.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Digital Research | R+22.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Pan Atlantic Research | R+11.7 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Maine People's Resource Center | R+23.3 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+24.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2012-11-026
Public Policy Polling2012-11-017
Digital Research2012-10-305
Pan Atlantic Research2012-09-266
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-09-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Maine Senate race?
VotePredictor does not publish a winner for this race. It tracks the two-party Democratic-Republican margin, which was R+17.5, and this was not a two-party contest — so that margin does not identify the winner.
When was the 2012 Maine Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.