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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Nebraska Senate
In the 2012 Nebraska Senate race, Deb Fischer (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.6
Final polls said
R+9.7
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+16.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | We Ask America | R+12.4 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | R+12.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Hickman Analytics | R+5.0 | 10.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Wiese Research Associates | R+3.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2012-11-013
Gravis Marketing2012-10-284
Wiese Research Associates2012-10-2413
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-240
Hickman Analytics2012-10-1511
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Nebraska Senate race?
Deb Fischer (R) won, by about 15.6 points (R+15.6).
When was the 2012 Nebraska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.