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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Nevada Senate
In the 2012 Nevada Senate race, Dean Heller (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.2
Final polls said
R+3.3
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grove Insight | R+1.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+2.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | We Ask America | R+0.3 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Marist College | R+3.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Suffolk University | R+3.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+5.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mellman Group | D+3.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | R+6.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Dane & Associates | R+6.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 11 | YouGov | R+9.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | Gravis Marketing | R+16.7 | 15.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-031
YouGov2012-11-028
Grove Insight2012-10-270
SurveyUSA2012-10-265
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-234
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Nevada Senate race?
Dean Heller (R) won, by about 1.2 points (R+1.2).
When was the 2012 Nevada Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.