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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 2014 Hawaii Governor race, David Y. Ige (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.4
Final polls said
D+11.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+12.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | D+12.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | MRG Research | D+6.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Tarrance Group | D+3.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | D+1.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+32.0 | 19.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Tarrance Group2014-10-229
YouGov2014-10-2020
MRG Research2014-10-186
Tarrance Group2014-10-1610
Ward Research2014-10-150
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Hawaii Governor race?
David Y. Ige (D) won, by about 12.4 points (D+12.4).
When was the 2014 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.