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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 2014 Hawaii Governor race, David Y. Ige (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.4
Final polls said
D+11.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+12.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group | D+12.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | MRG Research | D+6.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Tarrance Group | D+3.0 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | D+1.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+32.0 | 19.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Tarrance Group2014-10-229
YouGov2014-10-2020
MRG Research2014-10-186
Tarrance Group2014-10-1610
Ward Research2014-10-150
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Hawaii Governor race?
David Y. Ige (D) won, by about 12.4 points (D+12.4).
When was the 2014 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.