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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2014 Illinois Governor race, Bruce Rauner (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.9
Final polls said
D+0.3
8 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ogden & Fry | R+3.5 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Communication Express | R+5.8 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | APC Research | R+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of Illinois Springfield Survey Research Office | R+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | R+1.7 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | R+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Battleground Polling | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 9 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | D+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 10 | McKeon & Associates | D+3.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
| 11 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
| 12 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 13 | We Ask America | D+5.0 | 8.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ogden & Fry2014-11-020
Public Policy Polling2014-11-016
Ogden & Fry2014-11-011
McKeon & Associates2014-10-287
We Ask America2014-10-279
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Illinois Governor race?
Bruce Rauner (R) won, by about 3.9 points (R+3.9).
When was the 2014 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.