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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2014 Illinois Governor race, Bruce Rauner (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.9
Final polls said
D+0.3
8 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ogden & Fry | R+3.5 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Communication Express | R+5.8 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | APC Research | R+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of Illinois Springfield Survey Research Office | R+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | R+1.7 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | R+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Battleground Polling | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 9 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | D+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 10 | McKeon & Associates | D+3.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
| 11 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
| 12 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 13 | We Ask America | D+5.0 | 8.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ogden & Fry2014-11-020
Public Policy Polling2014-11-016
Ogden & Fry2014-11-011
McKeon & Associates2014-10-287
We Ask America2014-10-279
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Illinois Governor race?
Bruce Rauner (R) won, by about 3.9 points (R+3.9).
When was the 2014 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.