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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Massachusetts Governor
In the 2014 Massachusetts Governor race, Charles D. Baker (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.9
Final polls said
R+2.6
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiley & Company | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Rasmussen Reports | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | MassINC Polling Group | R+1.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Suffolk University | R+3.4 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+4.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | R+4.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | GQR | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 8 | Western New England University Polling Institute | R+5.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Emerson College | R+6.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 11 | SocialSphere | R+7.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
31 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-10-312
Emerson College2014-10-284
Suffolk University2014-10-282
SocialSphere2014-10-285
Western New England University Polling Institute2014-10-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Massachusetts Governor race?
Charles D. Baker (R) won, by about 1.9 points (R+1.9).
When was the 2014 Massachusetts Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.