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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Maine Governor
In the 2014 Maine Governor race, Paul R. LePage (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.8
Final polls said
R+1.2
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | R+3.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Rasmussen Reports | R+1.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | R+0.6 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | Magellan Strategies | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 7 | Frederick Polls | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 8 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+0.3 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 9 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+10.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+2.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 12 | GQR | D+4.0 | 8.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
19 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2014-11-015
Ipsos2014-10-265
Magellan Strategies2014-10-235
Public Policy Polling2014-10-225
YouGov2014-10-207
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Maine Governor race?
Paul R. LePage (R) won, by about 4.8 points (R+4.8).
When was the 2014 Maine Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.