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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Maine Governor
In the 2014 Maine Governor race, Paul R. LePage (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.8
Final polls said
R+1.2
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | R+3.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Rasmussen Reports | R+1.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | R+0.6 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | Magellan Strategies | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 7 | Frederick Polls | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 8 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+0.3 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 9 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+10.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+2.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 12 | GQR | D+4.0 | 8.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
19 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2014-11-015
Ipsos2014-10-265
Magellan Strategies2014-10-235
Public Policy Polling2014-10-225
YouGov2014-10-207
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Maine Governor race?
Paul R. LePage (R) won, by about 4.8 points (R+4.8).
When was the 2014 Maine Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.