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Toss-up · 2014 Governor

New Hampshire Governor

In the 2014 New Hampshire Governor race, Maggie Hassan (D) won by about 5 points.

Actual result
D+5.0
Final polls said
D+6.4
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Public Policy PollingD+5.00.0
2University of New Hampshire Survey CenterD+4.01.0
3University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public OpinionD+4.01.0
4Big VillageD+6.01.0
5New England College Polling CenterD+7.02.0
6American Research GroupD+2.03.0
7SurveyUSAD+8.03.0
8Rasmussen ReportsD+9.04.0
9YouGovD+9.04.0
10Suffolk UniversityD+10.25.2
11Vox Populi PollingR+3.08.0

The polls behind it

28 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-020
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2014-10-311
New England College Polling Center2014-10-312
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-294
American Research Group2014-10-283

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2014 New Hampshire Governor race?

Maggie Hassan (D) won, by about 5.0 points (D+5.0).

When was the 2014 New Hampshire Governor election held?

It was held in November 2014.

Which party matches you?

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