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Toss-up · 2014 House
Arkansas House
In the 2014 Arkansas House race, Bruce Westerman (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.2
Final polls said
R+4.7
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diamond State Consulting Group | R+7.4 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Hendrix College | R+2.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Diamond State Consulting Group2014-10-214
Hendrix College2014-10-159
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Arkansas House race?
Bruce Westerman (R) won, by about 11.2 points (R+11.2).
When was the 2014 Arkansas House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.