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Toss-up · 2014 House
Arizona House
In the 2014 Arizona House race, Martha McSally (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.1
Final polls said
D+2.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RRH Elections | D+2.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RRH Elections2014-10-222
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Arizona House race?
Martha McSally (R) won, by about 0.1 points (R+0.1).
When was the 2014 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2014.