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Toss-up · 2014 House
California House
In the 2014 California House race, Michael M. Honda (D) won with 51.8% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+3.5.
Actual result
D+3.5
Final polls said
D+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | David Binder Research | EVEN | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 3 | Lake Research Partners | D+15.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2014-10-182
Lake Research Partners2014-10-0911
David Binder Research2014-10-084
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 California House race?
Michael M. Honda (D) won, with 51.8% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+3.5, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2014 California House election held?
It was held in November 2014.