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Toss-up · 2014 House
Florida House
In the 2014 Florida House race, David W. Jolly (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.9
Final polls said
D+0.3
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RRH Elections | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | St. Pete Polls | EVEN | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-03-085
RRH Elections2014-02-260
St. Pete Polls2014-02-252
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates2014-02-170
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Florida House race?
David W. Jolly (R) won, by about 1.9 points (R+1.9).
When was the 2014 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.