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Toss-up · 2014 House
Florida House
In the 2014 Florida House race, Carlos Curbelo (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.9
Final polls said
R+1.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Leo University Polling Institute | R+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+5.0 | 7.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Saint Leo University Polling Institute2014-10-031
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2014-09-308
McLaughlin & Associates2014-09-101
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Florida House race?
Carlos Curbelo (R) won, by about 2.9 points (R+2.9).
When was the 2014 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.