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Toss-up · 2014 House
Florida House
In the 2014 Florida House race, Carlos Curbelo (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.9
Final polls said
R+1.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Leo University Polling Institute | R+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+5.0 | 7.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Saint Leo University Polling Institute2014-10-031
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2014-09-308
McLaughlin & Associates2014-09-101
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Florida House race?
Carlos Curbelo (R) won, by about 2.9 points (R+2.9).
When was the 2014 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2014.