Actual result
R+2.3
Final polls said
R+1.5
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+0.6
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | R+1.5 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+1.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | R+0.6 | 1.7 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | 2014-10-23 | 282 | R+1.5 | 1 |
| The Polling Company Inc. | 2014-10-01 | 442 | R+1.0 | 1 |