Actual result
D+5.1
Final polls said
D+13.4
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+15.9
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | D+13.4 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | D+15.9 | 10.8 | ✓ |
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | 2014-10-23 | 279 | D+13.4 | 8 |