Actual result
R+23.3
Final polls said
R+12.1
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+12.1
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+13.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | R+12.1 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | R+12.1 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | DFM Research | R+3.0 | 20.3 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | 2014-10-23 | 280 | R+12.1 | 11 |
| The Polling Company Inc. | 2014-10-01 | 407 | R+13.0 | 10 |
| DFM Research | 2014-09-23 | 375 | R+3.0 | 20 |