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Toss-up · 2014 House
Illinois House
In the 2014 Illinois House race, Robert Dold (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.6
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | R+2.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group/Lester & Associates | D+8.0 | 10.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
We Ask America2014-10-211
Global Strategy Group/Lester & Associates2014-10-0511
We Ask America2014-09-305
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Illinois House race?
Robert Dold (R) won, by about 2.6 points (R+2.6).
When was the 2014 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.