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Toss-up · 2014 House
Maine House
In the 2014 Maine House race, Bruce Poliquin (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.2
Final polls said
D+1.8
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | R+5.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+1.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Maine People's Resource Center | R+0.9 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+1.2 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+8.0 | 13.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2014-11-014
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2014-10-184
Pan Atlantic Research2014-10-186
Normington, Petts & Associates2014-10-1513
Digital Research2014-09-270
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Maine House race?
Bruce Poliquin (R) won, by about 5.2 points (R+5.2).
When was the 2014 Maine House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.