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Toss-up · 2014 House
Minnesota House
In the 2014 Minnesota House race, Collin Peterson (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.6
Final polls said
D+4.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+9.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tarrance Group | R+1.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | D+24.0 | 15.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Tarrance Group2014-10-1310
SurveyUSA2014-10-050
Tarrance Group2014-09-224
Global Strategy Group2014-09-0615
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Minnesota House race?
Collin Peterson (D) won, by about 8.6 points (D+8.6).
When was the 2014 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.