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Toss-up · 2014 House
North Dakota House
In the 2014 North Dakota House race, Kevin Cramer (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.1
Final polls said
R+11.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odney | R+15.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | WPA Intelligence | R+10.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | DFM Research | R+7.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mellman Group | D+2.0 | 19.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Odney2014-10-222
DFM Research2014-10-1510
WPA Intelligence2014-09-297
Mellman Group2014-09-2119
Odney2014-09-207
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 North Dakota House race?
Kevin Cramer (R) won, by about 17.1 points (R+17.1).
When was the 2014 North Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.