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Toss-up · 2014 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2014 New Hampshire House race, Frank C. Guinta (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.6
Final polls said
R+2.6
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+1.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | New England College Polling Center | R+9.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+17.0 | 20.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2014-10-313
New England College Polling Center2014-10-315
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2014-10-248
New England College Polling Center2014-10-242
New England College Polling Center2014-10-163
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Hampshire House race?
Frank C. Guinta (R) won, by about 3.6 points (R+3.6).
When was the 2014 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.