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Toss-up · 2014 House
New Jersey House
In the 2014 New Jersey House race, Scott Garrett (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+12.1
Final polls said
R+11.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+11.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+5.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2014-10-281
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2014-10-147
Monmouth University Polling Institute2014-10-127
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Jersey House race?
Scott Garrett (R) won, by about 12.1 points (R+12.1).
When was the 2014 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2014.