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Toss-up · 2014 House
New York House
In the 2014 New York House race, Elise M. Stefanik (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+14.6
Final polls said
R+16.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harper Polling | R+14.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Siena College | R+18.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harper Polling2014-10-271
Siena College2014-10-213
Harper Polling2014-09-277
Siena College2014-09-062
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New York House race?
Elise M. Stefanik (R) won, by about 14.6 points (R+14.6).
When was the 2014 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.