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Toss-up · 2014 House
South Dakota House
In the 2014 South Dakota House race, Kristi Noem (R) won by about 33 points.
Actual result
R+33.1
Final polls said
R+21.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+27.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+21.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Nielson Brothers Polling | R+18.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 17.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2014-10-266
SurveyUSA2014-10-2317
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2014-10-2212
SurveyUSA2014-10-0315
Nielson Brothers Polling2014-09-2315
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 South Dakota House race?
Kristi Noem (R) won, by about 33.1 points (R+33.1).
When was the 2014 South Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.