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Toss-up · 2014 House
South Dakota House
In the 2014 South Dakota House race, Kristi Noem (R) won by about 33 points.
Actual result
R+33.1
Final polls said
R+21.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+27.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+21.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Nielson Brothers Polling | R+18.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 17.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2014-10-266
SurveyUSA2014-10-2317
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2014-10-2212
SurveyUSA2014-10-0315
Nielson Brothers Polling2014-09-2315
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 South Dakota House race?
Kristi Noem (R) won, by about 33.1 points (R+33.1).
When was the 2014 South Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2014.