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Toss-up · 2014 House
Utah House
In the 2014 Utah House race, Jason Chaffetz (R) won by about 50 points.
Actual result
R+49.7
Final polls said
R+42.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+51.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Brigham Young University Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy | R+34.1 | 15.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Dan Jones & Associates2014-10-221
Brigham Young University Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy2014-10-1916
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Utah House race?
Jason Chaffetz (R) won, by about 49.7 points (R+49.7).
When was the 2014 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.