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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Alaska Senate
In the 2014 Alaska Senate race, Dan Sullivan (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+2.1
Final polls said
D+0.5
7 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Moore Information Group | R+4.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+4.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+4.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harstad Strategic Research | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | R+5.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Hickman Analytics | R+5.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Dittman Research | R+5.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Big Village | R+6.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Hays Research Group | D+4.2 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 11 | Alaska Survey Research | D+7.9 | 10.0 | ✗ |
| 12 | Hellenthal & Associates | D+9.4 | 11.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-011
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-293
Moore Information Group2014-10-272
Alaska Survey Research2014-10-2510
Harstad Strategic Research2014-10-202
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Alaska Senate race?
Dan Sullivan (R) won, by about 2.1 points (R+2.1).
When was the 2014 Alaska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.