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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 2014 Kentucky Senate race, Mitch McConnell (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+15.5
Final polls said
R+6.5
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marist College | R+9.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | ccAdvertising | R+9.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+8.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+8.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | R+8.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Magellan Strategies | R+8.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+7.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | R+6.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+4.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Ipsos | R+4.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | Western Kentucky University Social Science Research Center | R+3.7 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 13 | Gravis Marketing | R+3.0 | 12.5 | ✓ |
| 14 | Mellman Group | D+2.0 | 17.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
20 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-10-317
Marist College2014-10-296
SurveyUSA2014-10-2710
Public Opinion Strategies2014-10-268
YouGov2014-10-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Kentucky Senate race?
Mitch McConnell (R) won, by about 15.5 points (R+15.5).
When was the 2014 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.