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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Louisiana Senate
In the 2014 Louisiana Senate race, Bill Cassidy (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.9
Final polls said
R+5.5
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vox Populi Polling | R+11.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | JMC Analytics | R+15.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of New Orleans Survey Research Center | R+8.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | R+16.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Magellan Strategies | R+16.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Suffolk University | R+7.4 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marist College | R+5.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Multi-Quest International | R+3.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Gravis Marketing | R+21.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | WPA Intelligence | R+24.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Rasmussen Reports2014-12-034
WPA Intelligence2014-11-2412
JMC Analytics2014-11-203
Rasmussen Reports2014-11-183
Vox Populi Polling2014-11-161
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Louisiana Senate race?
Bill Cassidy (R) won, by about 11.9 points (R+11.9).
When was the 2014 Louisiana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.