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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Massachusetts Senate
In the 2014 Massachusetts Senate race, Edward J. Markey (D) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
D+23.9
Final polls said
D+18.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MassINC Polling Group | D+25.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SocialSphere | D+26.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Western New England University Polling Institute | D+20.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | D+18.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Suffolk University | D+15.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Polling | D+14.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-10-3110
Suffolk University2014-10-289
Western New England University Polling Institute2014-10-254
YouGov2014-10-248
MassINC Polling Group2014-10-241
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Massachusetts Senate race?
Edward J. Markey (D) won, by about 23.9 points (D+23.9).
When was the 2014 Massachusetts Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.