Actual result
D+23.9
Final polls said
D+18.7
6 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
D+21.9
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MassINC Polling Group | D+25.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | D+21.9 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | SocialSphere | D+26.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Western New England University Polling Institute | D+20.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | D+18.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Suffolk University | D+15.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+14.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
Polls (13)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | 2014-10-31 | 887 | D+14.0 | 10 |
| Suffolk University | 2014-10-28 | 500 | D+15.0 | 9 |
| Western New England University Polling Institute | 2014-10-25 | 430 | D+20.0 | 4 |
| YouGov | 2014-10-24 | 591 | D+16.0 | 8 |
| MassINC Polling Group | 2014-10-24 | 494 | D+25.0 | 1 |
| YouGov | 2014-10-20 | 2218 | D+22.0 | 2 |
| MassINC Polling Group | 2014-10-03 | 504 | D+26.0 | 2 |
| Suffolk University | 2014-09-27 | 500 | D+23.4 | 0 |
| YouGov | 2014-09-26 | 2389 | D+23.0 | 1 |
| Western New England University Polling Institute | 2014-09-24 | 416 | D+22.0 | 2 |
| MassINC Polling Group | 2014-09-18 | 502 | D+28.0 | 4 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2014-09-16 | 750 | D+18.0 | 6 |
| SocialSphere | 2014-09-15 | 407 | D+26.0 | 2 |