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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Maine Senate
In the 2014 Maine Senate race, Susan M. Collins (R) won by about 37 points.
Actual result
R+37.0
Final polls said
R+29.1
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+35.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Pan Atlantic Research | R+39.6 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ipsos | R+32.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Maine People's Resource Center | R+20.1 | 16.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | R+19.0 | 18.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Maine People's Resource Center2014-11-0117
Ipsos2014-10-265
YouGov2014-10-2018
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2014-10-182
Pan Atlantic Research2014-10-183
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Maine Senate race?
Susan M. Collins (R) won, by about 37.0 points (R+37.0).
When was the 2014 Maine Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.