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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Montana Senate
In the 2014 Montana Senate race, Steve Daines (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+17.7
Final polls said
R+16.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+18.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | R+16.1 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | R+14.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2014-10-234
YouGov2014-10-200
Montana State University Billings2014-10-082
Gravis Marketing2014-09-295
YouGov2014-09-263
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Montana Senate race?
Steve Daines (R) won, by about 17.7 points (R+17.7).
When was the 2014 Montana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.