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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Oklahoma Senate
In the 2014 Oklahoma Senate race, James Lankford (R) won by about 39 points.
Actual result
R+39.5
Final polls said
R+34.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+36.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | SoonerPoll.com | R+34.9 | 4.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SoonerPoll.com2014-10-275
SoonerPoll.com2014-10-278
YouGov2014-10-203
YouGov2014-10-205
YouGov2014-09-263
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Oklahoma Senate race?
James Lankford (R) won, by about 39.5 points (R+39.5).
When was the 2014 Oklahoma Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.