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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Oregon Senate
In the 2014 Oregon Senate race, Jeff Merkley (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+18.9
Final polls said
D+18.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elway Research | D+19.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+21.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | DHM Research | D+21.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+8.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Elway Research2014-10-260
SurveyUSA2014-10-252
YouGov2014-10-207
SurveyUSA2014-10-182
DHM Research2014-10-092
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Oregon Senate race?
Jeff Merkley (D) won, by about 18.9 points (D+18.9).
When was the 2014 Oregon Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.