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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
West Virginia Senate
In the 2014 West Virginia Senate race, Shelley Moore Capito (R) won by about 28 points.
Actual result
R+27.6
Final polls said
R+22.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+22.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Rasmussen Reports | R+11.0 | 16.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2014-10-206
Rasmussen Reports2014-09-3017
YouGov2014-09-265
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 West Virginia Senate race?
Shelley Moore Capito (R) won, by about 27.6 points (R+27.6).
When was the 2014 West Virginia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.