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Toss-up · 2016 Governor

Montana Governor

In the 2016 Montana Governor race, Steve Bullock (D) won by about 4 points.

Actual result
D+3.9
Final polls said
D+6.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyD+2.01.9✓
2SurveyMonkeyR+2.05.9✗
3Montana State University BillingsD+12.08.1✓

The polls behind it

4 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-046
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2810
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2016-10-112
Montana State University Billings2016-10-078

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2016 Montana Governor race?

Steve Bullock (D) won, by about 3.9 points (D+3.9).

When was the 2016 Montana Governor election held?

It was held in November 2016.

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