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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
Montana Governor
In the 2016 Montana Governor race, Steve Bullock (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+3.9
Final polls said
D+6.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | R+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 3 | Montana State University Billings | D+12.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-046
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2810
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2016-10-112
Montana State University Billings2016-10-078
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Montana Governor race?
Steve Bullock (D) won, by about 3.9 points (D+3.9).
When was the 2016 Montana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.